RISK QUANTIFICATION

Every Compliance Risk Has a Dollar Cost. Now You Know It.

DeepNotch uses the NIST SP 800-30 ALE model — calibrated to Saudi Arabia and UAE market data — to convert every compliance gap into a financial exposure your board can act on.

ALE FORMULA
SLE × ARO = ALE
SLESingle Loss Expectancy — cost of one incident
AROAnnual Rate of Occurrence — how often it happens
ALEAnnual Loss Expectancy — your true yearly exposure
$380,000 SLE × 0.3 ARO × 6.3× = $718,200 ALE
WHY IT EXISTS

Boards ask about risk in dollars. GRC tools answer in control IDs.

Every audit produces a list of gaps. But what does a gap in NCA-ECC Domain 3 actually cost you? Without financial quantification, GRC reports sit unread by leadership. DeepNotch translates every compliance gap into an Annual Loss Expectancy — the number your board, CFO, and insurers understand.

Board-level reporting

Boards and CFOs speak in dollar risk. ALE gives you the number they need to approve remediation budgets.

GCC-calibrated

Regional multipliers reflect actual GCC breach costs — not US/EU averages that understate your true exposure.

NIST SP 800-30

Built on the internationally recognised risk quantification standard. Defensible to auditors and regulators.

ALE CALCULATOR

Input a risk. Get a dollar figure.

The ALE model converts any compliance gap into a quantified annual financial exposure using NIST SP 800-30 methodology.

Enter SLE (cost of one incident) and ARO (annual probability) for any risk
Apply a regional multiplier based on your country and sector
Instantly see the ALE — the annual dollar exposure to prioritise against
See how ALE connects to compliance gaps →
Single Loss Expectancy (SLE)
$380,000
Annual Rate (ARO)
0.3
Regional Multiplier
6.3×
CALCULATED ALE
$718,200
MENA REGIONAL CALIBRATION

US and EU risk models understate your exposure.

DeepNotch applies GCC-specific multipliers derived from regional breach cost data. A $1 risk in Saudi Finance isn't a $1 risk — it's a $6.30 risk.

RegionSectorMultiplierWhat It Means
Saudi ArabiaFinance6.3×Highest exposure in the GCC — regulatory penalties, reputational damage, SAMA intervention
UAEFinance4.0×CBUAE and ADGM regulatory costs amplify base exposure significantly
Saudi ArabiaGovernment3.6×NCA-ECC non-compliance carries national security classification risks
UAEGovernment2.8×TRA and TDRA oversight applies to public-sector entities
Saudi ArabiaHealthcare2.4×NHIC data regulations and AI deployment obligations

Multipliers are applied to base ALE calculations. Source: regional breach cost data aggregated from GCC cybersecurity incident reports.

Risk Register Extract
Risk ItemFrameworkSLEAROALE
Access ViolationISO 27001$120k0.2$151,200
Asset LeakNCA-ECC$450k0.1$162,000
Guardrail GapISO 42001$80k0.5$252,000
Policy DecayNCA-ECC$30k1.0$108,000
RISK REGISTER

Every risk. Every dollar. One register.

A living risk register that shows ALE exposure per risk item — sortable, filterable, and exportable.

All compliance gaps from the audit engine are automatically added as risk items
Each item shows Control ID, SLE, ARO, regional multiplier, and calculated ALE
Sort by ALE to prioritise which risks cost the most if left unaddressed
See how gaps are identified →
BOARD REPORTING

One click. Board-ready risk report.

Export a clean financial risk summary — total ALE exposure by framework, top 5 risks by dollar value, and recommended remediation priorities.

Total ALE exposure across all active frameworks
Top risks ranked by dollar cost, with remediation effort estimate
Formatted for C-suite and board presentation — no technical jargon
Book a demo to see a sample report →
Board Risk Overview
Total ALE Exposure
$2,418,200
SAMA compliance gap$718,200
AI Model Bias exposure$520,300
Unencrypted assets$312,000

From compliance gap to dollar figure in three steps.

No actuarial consultants. No custom models. The ALE engine runs automatically.

Identify the Risk

Compliance gaps found by the audit engine are automatically added to the risk register.

Quantify with ALE

The model assigns SLE and ARO based on the gap type, then applies your regional multiplier.

Report to the Board

Export a financial risk summary showing total ALE exposure and top risks by dollar cost.

WORKS WITH

Part of the DeepNotch platform.

Risk Quantification is most powerful when connected to the compliance and AI governance layers.

Compliance Automation

Gaps identified by the audit engine are automatically priced in the ALE register.

Explore →

AI Governance

AI-specific risks (model failures, guardrail breaches) are quantified as ALE exposures.

Explore →

Stop presenting risk in control IDs. Start presenting it in dollars.

NIST SP 800-30. GCC-calibrated multipliers. Board-ready in one click.

Book a Demo

Saudi Finance 6.3× · UAE Finance 4.0× · Saudi Government 3.6×